Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000092 0.000109 0.000127 0.000148 0.000170 0.000195 0.000222
2025-01-05 0.000070 0.000092 0.000117 0.000147 0.000182 0.000221 0.000266
2025-01-12 0.000056 0.000080 0.000108 0.000143 0.000185 0.000233 0.000291
2025-01-19 0.000049 0.000074 0.000106 0.000147 0.000198 0.000258 0.000331
2025-01-26 0.000039 0.000065 0.000098 0.000142 0.000198 0.000265 0.000350
2025-02-02 0.000034 0.000060 0.000095 0.000143 0.000205 0.000282 0.000379
2025-02-09 0.000028 0.000054 0.000090 0.000142 0.000209 0.000293 0.000402
2025-02-16 0.000026 0.000053 0.000091 0.000147 0.000222 0.000316 0.000439
2025-02-23 0.000023 0.000049 0.000089 0.000148 0.000229 0.000331 0.000466
2025-03-02 0.000018 0.000043 0.000083 0.000143 0.000226 0.000334 0.000479
2025-03-09 0.000015 0.000040 0.000079 0.000141 0.000229 0.000343 0.000498
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000037 0.000077 0.000140 0.000233 0.000354 0.000521
2025-03-23 0.000011 0.000035 0.000075 0.000142 0.000241 0.000372 0.000553
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000031 0.000072 0.000141 0.000244 0.000383 0.000576
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000028 0.000067 0.000137 0.000243 0.000389 0.000593
2025-04-13 0.000006 0.000027 0.000068 0.000141 0.000254 0.000411 0.000631
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000023 0.000063 0.000136 0.000252 0.000414 0.000644
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000022 0.000062 0.000137 0.000257 0.000427 0.000672
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000020 0.000059 0.000136 0.000260 0.000437 0.000694
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000019 0.000061 0.000141 0.000273 0.000461 0.000735
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000018 0.000060 0.000142 0.000279 0.000476 0.000765
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000016 0.000055 0.000137 0.000275 0.000477 0.000774
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000014 0.000053 0.000135 0.000276 0.000485 0.000794